i really liked the Natural Primer reading (not in small part due to the fact that economics is doesnt make sense). the idea of using backcasting, instead of forecasting, is something i have always wondered why people dont just do. looking into the past to guide you into the future can only go so far before it becomes useless. just because something didnt work before doesnt mean it wont work now, and conversely, just because something did work before doesnt mean it will work again. forecasting seems to be seeing a problem and looking at previous solutions to follow again without giving much thought to where we'll end up. it just seems to me that if the problem is similar enough that you can compare possible solutions chances are if you have the same problem again the same solution will not fix it permanently. but if we look forward to where we want to end up our chances of coming up with an appropriate solution are much better.
i always love reading about how things are connected. how doing something in one place affects what happens somewhere else. it makes me think back to what Fritjof Capra said "we cannot understand our problems in isolation." nor can we hope to fix our problems in isolation. if we try we only end up with a problem somewhere else.
Saturday, January 9, 2010
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I agree. My dad always says that the past is the key to the future in learning from our mistakes, but I think that that can only take us so far. We need to work as a group and look at everything to then create a master plan.
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